ISBN: 038551705X
Godina izdanja: 2009
Jezik: Engleski
Autor: Strani

George Friedman - The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
Doubleday, 2009
253 str.
tvrdi povez
stanje: vrlo dobro

“Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.” —George Friedman

In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century.
The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including:

• The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia.
• China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power.
• A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly.
• Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications.
• The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century.

Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead.

Contents:
Overture: an introduction to the American age
The dawn of the American age
Earthquake: the U.S.-Jihadist war
Population, computers, and culture wars
The new fault lines
China 2020: paper tiger
Russia 2020: rematch
American power and the crisis of 2030
A new world emerges
The 2040s: prelude to war
Preparing for war
World war: a scenario
The 2060s: a golden decade
2080: the United States, Mexico, and the struggle for the global heartland
Epilogue


Stratfor


Nonfiction, Politics, 038551705X